Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.852607 5.450491 6.102586 6.868125 7.744132 8.717450 9.883823
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.036823 4.836632 5.774917 6.962745 8.434595 10.209020 12.526043
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.406364 4.279763 5.361250 6.810393 8.718753 11.170125 14.596292
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.003223 3.920962 5.108400 6.775723 9.085731 12.216407 16.854686
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.683134 3.617873 4.873006 6.707134 9.361874 13.131779 19.012119
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.537566 3.526020 4.900194 6.985462 10.132347 14.806883 22.473692
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.334237 3.327468 4.749851 6.979518 10.468502 15.859767 25.104438
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.148523 3.133689 4.582657 6.921810 10.705233 16.767667 27.602305
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.905669 2.831968 4.224461 6.527649 10.356625 16.681221 28.385891
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.792810 2.717970 4.141668 6.558786 10.698521 17.766727 31.359713
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.732109 2.679105 4.171149 6.772256 11.364382 19.476502 35.710918
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.653914 2.605019 4.135961 6.870236 11.834109 20.883851 39.681572
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.569459 2.516622 4.073821 6.922689 12.241019 22.249824 43.840904
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.488312 2.427462 4.002967 6.952590 12.609358 23.588631 48.167371
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.382325 2.287816 3.833509 6.785720 12.581847 24.139917 50.875539
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.306927 2.195332 3.738895 6.747784 12.799106 25.207556 54.904542
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.233626 2.101136 3.633577 6.678732 12.944159 26.137683 58.762653
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.214931 2.103207 3.703192 6.955533 13.830821 28.775807 67.216357
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.159441 2.033993 3.634601 6.949574 14.116030 30.111642 72.638533
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.101756 1.956759 3.544971 6.892135 14.281804 31.192336 77.587142
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.008070 1.806009 3.303853 6.499876 13.662264 30.348018 77.174145
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.970697 1.760366 3.264661 6.530863 14.007005 31.870989 83.651621
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.955748 1.756909 3.308351 6.743303 14.795137 34.595054 94.145001